class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide # Misperceived Discrimination ## The Two Proximate Causes of Over- and Underperceived Ethnic Discrimination ### Merlin Schaeffer & Judith Kas ### 2021-11-10 --- # The integration paradox .left-column[ <br> > [...] greater familiarity with the culture and language and economic advancement can lead to greater consciousness of the reality of discrimination. > -- Portes, Parker, and Cobas (1980) ] -- .right-column[ <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .center[.backgrnote[*Source*: Schaeffer and Kas (2021)]] ] --- # Step 1 .font60[Online survey] .left-column[ |Var1 | Freq| |:------------------|----:| |Mainstream | 1356| |Immigrant | 890| |Child of immigrant | 595| - Random sample from public registers of: + Berlin, + Hamburg, + Cologne, + Frankfurt, + Munich. - Invitation to study via postal mail. - Response rate approx. 8%. ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Fundamental flaw of prior research .left-column[ <br> > [...] greater familiarity with the culture and language and some economic advancement can lead to greater .alert[consciousness of the reality] of discrimination. > -- Portes, Parker, and Cobas (1980) ] -- .right-column[ .center[.alert[**False Consciousness**: Are the less integrated under-perceiving the true extent of discrimination they face?]] <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-2.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Limitation of correspondence studies .left-column[ .center[.alert[Fake CV's <br> have no experiences and perceptions]] <img src="https://www.docdroid.net/thumbnail/d9fU64e/1500,1500/fake-cv-pdf.jpg" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-2a.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- layout: true # Additional demands .font70[for a new design] .left-column[ > You need 16 times the sample size to estimate an interaction than to estimate a main effect > -- [Andrew Gelman](https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2018/03/15/need-16-times-sample-size-estimate-interaction-estimate-main-effect/) ] --- .right-column[ <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-2.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- .right-column[ <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-2b.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- layout: true class: clear # Additional demands .font70[Decomposition into two proximate causes] --- <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3a.png" width="50%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3b.png" width="50%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3c.png" width="50%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- layout: false class: clear # Additional demands .font70[Decomposition into two proximate causes] .left-column[ 1. Misperception of how poorly .backgrnote[/well] You are being treated. + .backgrnote[You have it worse/better than you think.] 2. Misperception of how well .backgrnote[/poorly] mainstream members are being treated. + .backgrnote[Mainstream members have it better/worse than you think.] ] .right-column[ <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="78%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Central idea .font70[Mutual evaulation in behavioral games] .left-column[ 1. Revolve around two players mutual evaluation. 2. Have a clear metric: € `\(\rightarrow\)` Observe actual & survey expected discrimination in €. ] .right-column[ <img src="media/Non-anonymous-trust-game.png" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- layout: false layout: true class: clear # Step 2: .font60[10 Trust games among 2.000 of our respondents] .right-column[ <img src="media/Sender-en.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- .left-column[ - *Mainstream participants*: 3 Games with mainstream & 7 with immigrant origin players. - *Immigrant origin participants*: 7 Games with mainstream & 3 with immigrant origin players. ] --- .left-column[ .center[.alert[True first name & city of residence from registers]<br> .backgrnote[Alisina, Ahmad, Anne, Binyamin, Joyce, Somaia, Sarah, Hayriye, Saibe, Björn, Salem, Fabienne, Sadet, Linda, Margarita, Ali, Joseph, Mhd Kheir, Baran, Bahaa, Jebran, Reno, Seiji, Irina, Ajsel, Christine, Rahim, Yaw Abrefa, Mark, Anjali Dev, Elmar, Anke, Laura, Heiko, ...] ]] --- layout: false class: clear # Actual trust .font60[to immigrant origin participants (current n = 281)] .left-column[ <img src="media/Sender-en.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] -- .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-17-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Actual trust to 9 others .left-column[ `\(\text{Tr others}_{ij} = \bar{€}_{j}^{|i} = \bar{€}_{j} - €_{ij}\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-19-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- class: clear # Actual (mistrust-based) discrimination .font60[per game] .left-column[ `\(\text{Act Discr}_{ij} = €_{ij} - \bar{€}_{j}^{|i}\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-21-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Actual discrimination .font60[averaged per person] .left-column[ `\(\bar{\text{Act Discr}}_{i} = \frac{\sum\limits_{j=1}^{n_{j}}\text{Act Discr}_{ij}}{n_{j}}\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-23-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # After the 10 games .font60[Perceptions\Expectations] .left-column[ <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="media/Perception-en.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- class: clear # Perceived/Expected Discrimination .font60[per game] .left-column[ `\(\text{Perc Discr}_{ij} = \mathbb{E}(€_{ij}) - \mathbb{E}(\bar{€}_{j}^{|i})\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-27-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- class: clear # Perceived/Expected Discrimination .font60[averaged per person] .left-column[ `\(\bar{\text{Perc Discr}_{i}} = \frac{\sum\limits_{j=1}^{10}{\mathbb{E}(€_{ij}) - \mathbb{E}(\bar{€}_{j}^{|i})}}{10}\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-29-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- class: clear # Misperceived (Mistrust-Based) Discrimination .left-column[ `\(\text{Misp Discr}_{i} = \bar{\text{Perc Discr}_{i}} - \bar{\text{Act Discr}}_{i}\)` <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .right-column[ <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/misp_discr_tr_player-1.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- layout: true class: clear # Decomposition into two proximate causes .push-left[ .alert[The Case of Under-Perceived Discrimination] .font90[ `$$\text{Misp Pers Tr} = \begin{cases} \bar{\text{Perc. Tr}_{i}} - \bar{\text{Act Tr}}_{i} &\mbox{if } \text{Misp Pers Tr} > 0 \\ 0 & \mbox{if } \text{Misp Pers Tr} \leq 0. \end{cases}$$` `$$\% \text{Misp Pers} = \begin{cases} -100 * \frac{\text{Misp Pers Tr}}{\text{Misp Discr}_{i}} &\mbox{if } \% \text{Misp Pers} < 100 \\ 100 & \mbox{if } \% \text{Misp Pers} \geq 100. \end{cases}$$` <br> <br> `$$\text{Misp Oth Tr} = \begin{cases} \bar{\text{Perc Tr Oth}_{i}} - \bar{\text{Act Tr Oth}}_{i} &\mbox{if } \text{Misp Oth Tr} < 0 \\ 0 & \mbox{if } \text{Misp Oth Tr} \geq 0. \end{cases}$$` `$$\% \text{Misp Oth} = \begin{cases} -100 * \frac{\text{Misp Oth Tr}}{\text{Misp Discr}_{i}} &\mbox{if } \% \text{Misp Oth} < 100 \\ 100 & \mbox{if } \% \text{Misp Oth} \geq 100. \end{cases}$$` ]] --- .push-right[ <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3d.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- .push-right[ <img src="media/Conceptual-model-3e.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- layout: false class: clear # Decomposition into two proximate causes <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/decompo-1.png" width="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # Next steps .font60[Reciprocity & Trust-Based Selection] .push-left[ Replicate for misperceived reciprocity-based discrimination. ] -- .push-right[ <img src="media/Selection-en.png" width="100%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Next steps .font60[Integration Paradox] <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/integrpara2-1.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # Satisficing? <img src="EUI-Arnout_files/figure-html/bored-1.png" width="75%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- layout: true # Final step 3 .font60[Scheduled for end of January] --- <img src="media/Step3_a.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- <img src="media/Step3_b.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- <img src="media/Step3_c.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- layout: false class: middle center .font140[ .alert[Thank you for your attention!] ] <br> .alert[Please contact us,<br> if you have alternative ideas on how these data can be used] --- # References .font70[ Portes, A., R. N. Parker, and J. A. Cobas (1980). "Assimilation or Consciousness". In: _Social Forces_, pp. 200-224. Schaeffer, M. and J. Kas (2021). "The Integration Paradox: A Theoretical Synthesis and Meta-Analysis". In: _Unpublished manuscript_, p. 0. ]